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高盛:芯原股份-董事长来访;用于人工智能推理和人工智能设备的小芯片知识产权将推动未来增长;买入

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for VeriSilicon, with a 12-month target price of Rmb119, indicating an upside potential of 35.9% from the current price of Rmb87.59 [11][9]. Core Insights - VeriSilicon is experiencing strong order momentum, with orders on hand reaching Rmb2.46 billion as of the end of Q1 2025, up from Rmb2.41 billion at the end of 2024. Approximately 80% of these orders are expected to be delivered within one year, supporting growth from Q2 2025 onwards [2][8]. - The company is expanding its capabilities in Chiplet and GPU/AI IP, supported by private placement funding approved by the CSRC in April 2025. This funding will primarily focus on developing high-performance, low-power Chiplet platforms for AI and autonomous driving applications [3][8]. - Revenue from turnkey solutions, which include chipset design and mass production services, has seen significant growth, increasing by 41% year-over-year [4][7]. - The investment thesis highlights VeriSilicon's leading position in the semiconductor IP market in China, with a 2% share in the global IP market. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the rising demand for computing power, particularly in AI and autonomous driving applications [8][9]. Summary by Sections Orders and Revenue - Orders on hand reached Rmb2.46 billion at the end of Q1 2025, supporting anticipated growth. The product mix is shifting towards more advanced projects (14nm and above), which carry higher value [2][8]. Funding and Expansion - The company plans to utilize private placement funding for R&D in Chiplet and GPU IP/AI IP, focusing on local client needs for high-performance chipsets [3][8]. Turnkey Solutions - The revenue growth from turnkey solutions has increased significantly, indicating strong demand in consumer electronics and a diversified client base across various sectors [4][7]. Market Position and Valuation - VeriSilicon is recognized as a leading semiconductor IP and design service provider in China, with a target P/E multiple of 31x for 2029E, suggesting that the shares are currently undervalued [8][9].