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第一创业晨会纪要-20250522
First Capital Securities·2025-05-22 06:17

Macroeconomic Group - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has surpassed 4.5% again as of May 21, indicating rising interest rates [3] - The U.S. Treasury auctioned $16 billion of 20-year bonds with a final yield of 5.047%, marking the second time this yield has exceeded 5% [4] - The auction's bid-to-cover ratio was 2.46, the lowest since February, reflecting weaker demand [4] - The rise in Treasury yields has led to a decline in U.S. stock markets, with the S&P 500 dropping over 1.7% and the Dow Jones falling more than 2% [4] Strategy and Advanced Manufacturing Group - Xiaopeng Motors reported Q1 2025 vehicle deliveries of 94,000 units, a 330% year-on-year increase, with a significant portion being the lower-priced MONA MO3 model [8] - The company's Q1 revenue reached 15.81 billion yuan, up 141.5% year-on-year, with expectations for Q2 revenue between 17.5 billion and 18.7 billion yuan, indicating strong sales momentum [8] - Xiaopeng Motors plans to launch several new models in the second half of the year, which are expected to enhance sales and average vehicle prices [8] - The production capacity at the Guangzhou Phase II factory is projected to exceed 700,000 vehicles by the end of 2025, reflecting growth in the domestic new energy vehicle sector [8] Consumer Group - Kweichow Moutai reported Q1 2025 revenue of 481 million yuan, a 10.1% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising by 1.7% to 94 million yuan [11] - The company's gross margin improved to 60.71%, up 7.1 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of mid-to-high-end products [11] - Contract liabilities increased by 77.21% year-on-year, indicating strong downstream demand and increased customer prepayments [11]