Taclink(SH:688205) Shanxi Securities·2025-05-22 09:16Investment Rating - The report adjusts the investment rating for the company to "Accumulate-A" [7] Core Views - The demand for DCI (Data Center Interconnect) is strong, and the capacity bottleneck is expected to gradually ease [4] - The company's revenue for 2024 is reported at 840 million, a slight increase of 2.8% year-on-year, with a notable growth in the data and access product line [1] - The company is experiencing a significant increase in demand for DCI subsystem products, with a revenue growth of 70% year-on-year in this segment [1] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 200 million, with a year-on-year decrease in net profit of 36.8% [2] - The gross margin for the company has declined to 27.2%, down 5.4 percentage points from the previous year, primarily due to changes in product mix and increased costs [3] - The company’s inventory value as of Q1 2025 is 420 million, reflecting a 21.6% year-on-year increase, indicating a strong order backlog [3] Market and Industry Insights - The North American DCI market is experiencing robust demand, driven by trends in localized deployment for large model distributed training and inference [4] - The company has competitive advantages in the DCI optical layer and subsystem electrical layer ODM, with a full range of DCI equipment developed and ready for commercial deployment [4] - Domestic investments in computing power are expected to support resilience in backbone network investments, with ongoing demand for 400G and 800G equipment [5][6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.25 billion, 1.81 billion, and 2.27 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be 140 million, 220 million, and 290 million [7][9] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve gradually, reaching 31.7% in 2025 and stabilizing around 33.2% by 2027 [9][11]