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国轩高科:2024年报及2025年一季报点评营收增长显著,盈利大幅提升-20250522

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Guoxuan High-Tech (002074) with a target price of 29.79 CNY [2][8]. Core Views - The company achieved significant revenue growth in 2024, with total revenue reaching 35.392 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 11.98%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.207 billion CNY, up 28.56% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items surged by 125.86% to 263 million CNY [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 9.055 billion CNY, a 20.61% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.01 billion CNY, reflecting a 45.55% year-on-year growth [2][4]. - The company's power battery business accounted for over 70% of total revenue in 2024, with a global installed capacity growth of 73.8% and a market share of 3.2%, ranking eighth globally [8]. - The energy storage business generated revenue of 7.832 billion CNY in 2024, representing 22.13% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 12.98% [8]. - The company is expanding its international presence and production capacity, establishing strategic partnerships with major automotive manufacturers like Volkswagen [8]. - The report highlights the company's commitment to shareholder returns, with a cash dividend of 1 CNY per 10 shares distributed, totaling 179 million CNY, and a share buyback amounting to 300 million CNY [8]. Financial Summary - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 43.023 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.358 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 12.5% [4][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.75 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 35 [4][9]. - The company maintains a healthy financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 161.8% and an asset-liability ratio of 72.3% [9].