贵州茅台（600519）：理性务实，保持定力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guizhou Moutai [1] Core Views - The company emphasizes its commitment to quality and cultural roots, believing that these will not waver [7] - Guizhou Moutai aims to transition from selling liquor to selling a lifestyle, focusing on creating a comprehensive ecosystem for mutual benefits among stakeholders [7] - The company is confident in its ability to navigate the current liquor industry cycle, which is characterized by a shift towards rational consumption and market adjustments [7] - Guizhou Moutai plans to maintain a stable pricing structure for its products, adhering to market principles [7] - The company has initiated a share buyback plan and established a three-year dividend policy to enhance market value [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 150,560 million RMB in 2023 to 227,000 million RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.75% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 74,734 million RMB in 2023 to 110,276 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 9.25% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 59.49 RMB in 2023 to 87.79 RMB in 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 26.56 in 2023 to 18.00 in 2027, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [1] Market Data - The closing price of Guizhou Moutai is 1,580.00 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 1,984,792.52 million RMB [5] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 7.68 and a net asset value per share of 205.67 RMB [5][6]