AHHL(SH:600761) Orient Securities·2025-05-23 07:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company experienced a slight revenue increase in 2024, with total revenue reaching 17.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 1% [10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is projected at 1.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [10] - The report highlights the company's ongoing international expansion and strategic investments in the supply chain, which are expected to drive future growth [10] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 was 17.16 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [4] - The company forecasts revenue growth to 19.02 billion yuan in 2025, representing a 9.8% increase [4] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is expected to be 23.46%, up 2.84 percentage points year-on-year [10] - The net profit margin for 2024 is projected at 8.49%, an increase of 0.56 percentage points year-on-year [10] - The company plans to achieve a net profit of 1.799 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.3% from 2024 [2][4] Valuation and Price Target - The target price for the company is set at 17.21 yuan, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 times for comparable companies in 2025 [2] - The current share price is 16.6 yuan, indicating potential upside [5] Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its overseas strategy, with significant investments in establishing manufacturing bases in regions like Thailand [10] - The report notes the successful opening of multiple overseas centers, which are expected to improve operational resilience [10] - The company is also focusing on mergers and acquisitions to strengthen its position in the intelligent logistics sector [10]