Sany Renewable Energy (688349) 长江证券·2025-05-23 08:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in new orders, with a potential performance growth turning point in Q2 [4] - For 2024, the company forecasts revenue of 17.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is projected at 1.81 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.7% [2][4] - The company reported a substantial increase in new signed orders, totaling 20 GW in 2024, with nearly 2 GW coming from overseas [10] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue is expected to reach 17.79 billion yuan, with a breakdown showing wind turbine sales contributing 13.58 billion yuan, a 14% increase year-on-year [10] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is estimated at 16.9%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [10] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.6%, but a net loss of 190 million yuan, a significant decline of 172% [2][4] - The company’s contract liabilities reached 6.8 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 102.7%, indicating a solid foundation for future deliveries [10] Business Segment Analysis - The wind turbine business is expected to ship 9.15 GW in 2024, contributing significantly to revenue growth [10] - The company’s wind power generation segment is projected to generate 290 million yuan in revenue, a decrease of 38% year-on-year, while wind power services are expected to see a revenue drop of 85% [10] - The sales from power station products are anticipated to reach 3.47 billion yuan, a remarkable increase of 446% year-on-year, driven by ongoing construction and transfer activities [10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to stabilize wind turbine bidding prices and improve gross margins through cost reduction and efficiency enhancement [10] - The expansion into overseas markets is anticipated to provide long-term growth opportunities, with a projected net profit of approximately 2 billion yuan for 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 14 times [10]