GBIAC(600004) 华创证券·2025-05-23 12:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by 10%-20% in the next six months [1][19]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from its investment in a city duty-free store in Guangzhou, capitalizing on the growth of inbound consumption and sharing in duty-free revenues [1]. - The report highlights the recovery of inbound tourism, with a significant increase in international visitors, which is projected to enhance the company's profitability [7]. - The establishment of a city duty-free store aligns with recent policy changes aimed at promoting duty-free shopping, which is expected to create synergies among various stakeholders involved in tourism and retail [7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024A: 7,424 million, 2025E: 8,182 million, 2026E: 9,703 million, 2027E: 10,289 million, with growth rates of 15.4%, 10.2%, 18.6%, and 6.0% respectively [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be: 2024A: 926 million, 2025E: 1,215 million, 2026E: 939 million, 2027E: 1,110 million, with growth rates of 109.5%, 31.3%, -22.7%, and 18.2% respectively [3][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be: 2024A: 0.39, 2025E: 0.51, 2026E: 0.40, 2027E: 0.47 [3][8]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 11.5 yuan, representing a 23% upside from the current price of 9.35 yuan [3][7].