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山金国际(000975):黄金价格上涨带动利润提升,内外联动增强资源接续能力

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Shanjin International Gold, with a target price of Rmb 24.40 based on a current price of Rmb 20.54 [2][6]. Core Views - The rise in gold prices has led to increased profits for the company, with significant growth in both revenue and net profit expected in the coming years [3][6]. - The company's ability to connect resources has been enhanced through strategic acquisitions, including a significant stake in Yunnan Western Mining Co., Ltd. and the Osino project in Namibia, which adds substantial gold resources [5][15]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating income of Rmb 4.321 billion, a year-on-year increase of 55.84% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 185.40% [3][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was Rmb 694 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37.91% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 55.66% [3][13]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for mineral gold in Q1 2025 was 77.57%, up 9.59 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a sales price increase of 35% [4][14]. - The company has demonstrated strong cost control, with a decrease in unit sales costs for mineral gold and silver, contributing to improved profitability [4][14]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are Rmb 15.845 billion, Rmb 17.904 billion, and Rmb 20.708 billion, respectively, with net profits expected to be Rmb 3.374 billion, Rmb 4.196 billion, and Rmb 5.355 billion [6][16]. - The expected EPS for the same period is Rmb 1.22, Rmb 1.51, and Rmb 1.93, indicating a clear growth trend in earnings [6][16]. Strategic Developments - The company has made significant progress in resource acquisition, including the purchase of exploration rights in Yunnan and the acquisition of the Osino project, which is expected to enhance its international presence and production capacity [5][15].