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恒瑞医药:业绩符合预期,国际化加速发展-20250525

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][18]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 27.98 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.34 billion yuan, up 47.3% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.21 billion yuan, a 20.14% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.87 billion yuan, reflecting a 36.9% growth [1][2]. - The company is accelerating its internationalization efforts and has a robust pipeline of innovative drugs expected to drive future growth [3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the sales expense was 8.34 billion yuan, with a sales expense ratio of 29.79%, down 3.4 percentage points year-on-year. R&D expenses were 6.58 billion yuan, with a ratio of 23.52%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company plans to increase its R&D investment to 8.23 billion yuan in 2024, a 33.8% increase compared to 2023 [1]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 31.34 billion, 35.67 billion, and 40.84 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 7.01 billion, 8.05 billion, and 9.43 billion yuan [5][11]. Product Pipeline and Market Position - The innovative drug revenue reached 13.89 billion yuan in 2024, a 31% increase year-on-year. The company anticipates a cumulative revenue target of 130 billion, 295 billion, and 503 billion yuan for 2024-2026 [3]. - The company has a strong product matrix in oncology, metabolism and cardiovascular, immunology and respiratory, and neuroscience, with significant ongoing projects and partnerships [4]. - Recent licensing agreements, such as the one with MSD for the HRS-5346 project, highlight the company's strategic focus on global collaborations, with potential total transaction value of approximately 14 billion USD [4].