XWXN(SH:688778) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-25 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 13.3 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 23.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 490 million yuan, down 6.3% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 450 million yuan, a decline of 4.1% year-on-year [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.5% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 130 million yuan, an increase of 10.0% year-on-year but a decrease of 1.4% quarter-on-quarter [2][4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.98 billion yuan, down 9.8% year-on-year and 12.8% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 120 million yuan, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year but a decrease of 7.8% quarter-on-quarter [2][4] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The company achieved a sales volume of 98,600 tons for positive materials in 2024, maintaining a growth trend. The sales of ternary materials (including lithium iron phosphate and others) reached 52,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 40%, driven by the growth of high-end pure electric vehicles. The sales of lithium cobalt oxide were 46,200 tons, up 33.5% year-on-year, mainly benefiting from subsidy policies and demand from AI mobile applications [9] - In Q1 2025, the sales volume of positive materials was 24,800 tons, with lithium cobalt oxide sales at 12,300 tons, a year-on-year increase of 46.55%. Ternary positive sales were 10,900 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 31.53% due to a high base effect from the previous year [9] Profitability - The estimated profit per ton for the company in 2024 faced pressure due to a decline in processing fees for ternary positives and the impact of raw material price drops. The iron lithium business remained in a loss state, while hydrogen materials maintained stability with sales of hydrogen storage alloys at 3,900 tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.73% [9] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 740 million yuan in 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of 28 times, and continues to be recommended [9]