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水羊股份(300740):2024年年报及2025Q1点评:业务阶段调整,高端美妆梯队持续建设
300740SYG(300740) 长江证券·2025-05-26 05:44

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.237 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.69%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 110 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 62.63% [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 1.192 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.86%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 16 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 86.33% [2][4] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.085 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.19%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 42 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.67% [2][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company experienced a strategic adjustment in its brand portfolio in 2024, leading to revenue pressure and a decline in profit margins. However, the gross margin improved by 4.6 percentage points due to an ongoing optimization of brand structure, with a higher proportion of high-end brands [11] - The sales expense ratio increased by 7.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased brand promotion investments, while the management and R&D expense ratios also saw slight increases [11] - In Q4 2024, the company saw a recovery in revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 7%, and a gross margin improvement of 3.1 percentage points [11] - For Q1 2025, the company maintained stable revenue growth of 5%, with a gross margin increase of 2.4 percentage points, indicating effective control over brand marketing expenses [11] Future Outlook - The company aims to establish itself as a "global emerging luxury beauty group," with ongoing investments in high-end brands and market expenses. The revenue is expected to stabilize, and profit margins are anticipated to gradually recover [11] - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 230 million yuan, 320 million yuan, and 390 million yuan, respectively [11]