CHANT GROUP(SZ:002616) Guoxin Securities·2025-05-26 05:45Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, with a target price range of 7.23 to 7.60 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 26.6% to 33.1% from the current price of 5.71 CNY [5][3]. Core Views - The company is a leading private enterprise in the biomass power generation sector, focusing on the utilization of agricultural and forestry biomass resources. It has successfully transitioned from manufacturing to becoming a benchmark in low-carbon and environmentally friendly industries [12][2]. - The biomass power generation industry is currently facing operational pressures due to subsidy arrears and rising raw material costs. However, the company has achieved growth through refined management practices [1][2]. - The partnership with the Zhongke system is expected to enhance the company's digital and intelligent transformation, while the decline in coal prices is anticipated to improve raw material procurement costs and profitability [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1993, the company initially started with gas appliance manufacturing and later entered the waste incineration and biomass power generation sectors. It became a publicly listed company focused on agricultural and forestry biomass resource utilization after divesting its manufacturing business in 2021 [12][1]. Industry Analysis - As of the end of 2024, the total installed capacity of biomass power generation in China reached 45.99 million kW, with the company holding a capacity of 491 MW, ranking third in the industry [1][47]. - The biomass power generation sector is categorized into three types: agricultural and forestry biomass, waste incineration, and biogas power generation. The industry is supported by national policies aimed at promoting renewable energy [36][37]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 37.86 billion CNY in 2024 to 44.05 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.0% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 217 million CNY in 2024 to 334 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 8.4% [4][3]. - The company's operating income from power supply and heating services accounted for 53.8% and 43.6% of total revenue in 2024, respectively [15][4]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established a competitive edge through effective risk management and operational efficiency, successfully integrating its manufacturing experience into environmental project operations [2][62]. - The company has successfully included 13 projects in the national subsidy list, indicating its proactive approach to project selection and management [2][5]. Future Outlook - The expansion of the carbon market is expected to provide additional revenue opportunities through carbon trading, further enhancing the company's financial performance [2][3]. - The partnership with Zhongke Xinkong is anticipated to facilitate the company's digital transformation and improve operational efficiency [2][12].