Mindray(SZ:300760) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-05-26 09:22Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to see a turning point in its domestic business in 2025 due to the anticipated recovery in local special bonds and monthly bidding for various medical devices, despite short-term impacts from tight local finances and delays in regular tenders [1] - The international market is projected to grow significantly, driven by the company's continued penetration into high-end customer segments and balanced revenue distribution across major global regions, particularly in developing countries and Europe [1] - The company is expected to maintain steady long-term growth, supported by the global medical infrastructure wave and expansion into high-end markets [5] Business Segmentation and Highlights - Life Information and Support Segment: Revenue decreased by 11.1% in 2024, with minimally invasive surgery business growing over 30%. Internationally, this segment achieved double-digit growth [2] - In Vitro Diagnostics Segment: Revenue grew by 10.8% in 2024, surpassing the Life Information and Support segment for the first time. Internationally, this segment saw growth exceeding 30% [3] - Medical Imaging Segment: Revenue increased by 6.6% in 2024, with international business growing over 15%. The high-end ultrasound system Resona A20 generated over 400 million yuan in its first year [3] Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 63.1%, a decrease of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 32.0%, down 1.2 percentage points [4] - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 12.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.4%, representing 102.8% of net operating income [4] - Profitability is expected to improve slightly from 2025 to 2027, driven by an increase in high-end product sales and stable operating expense ratios [4] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to maintain stable growth from 2025 to 2027, with expected revenues of 40.33 billion yuan in 2025, 45.76 billion yuan in 2026, and 52.50 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 9.82%, 13.46%, and 14.72% respectively [12] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 10.61 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.86 [10][12]