ZHmag(SZ:300224) China Post Securities·2025-05-27 04:25Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company focuses on its core business of magnetic materials, with continuous improvements in the performance of non-rare earth products [4][7]. - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue of 5.539 billion yuan, down 5.70% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.92 billion yuan, down 79.37% year-on-year [4][13]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.459 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.38%, while net profit decreased by 10.94% [14]. Company Overview - The latest closing price is 12.59 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 10.5 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a total share capital of 838 million shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 54.5% and a P/E ratio of 114.45 [3]. Performance Analysis - The decline in 2024 performance is attributed to intense competition in the high-performance neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnet industry, leading to price pressures and a decrease in gross margin [5][16]. - The company's neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnet revenue and gross profit for 2024 were 5.494 billion yuan and 0.779 billion yuan, respectively, down 4.79% and 24.60% year-on-year [17]. - The company has a production capacity of 30,000 tons for high-performance neodymium-iron-boron permanent materials, with a utilization rate of 84% at the Yantai base and 62% at the Nantong base [6][18]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the continued ramp-up of the Nantong base and a rebound in rare earth prices, projecting revenues of 6.382 billion yuan, 7.141 billion yuan, and 7.872 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8][10]. - The projected net profits for the same years are 0.327 billion yuan, 0.393 billion yuan, and 0.491 billion yuan, reflecting significant growth [10][11].