Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term raw material supply tightness is expected to support nickel prices, with LME nickel spot price reaching $18,630 per ton, up 5.70% from January 16 [1] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 438,000 yuan per ton, down 3.74% from January 16 [2][5] - Domestic antimony supply remains tight, providing price support, with antimony ingot prices at 160,500 yuan per ton [6] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to continue rising, with a market average of 171,100 yuan per ton, up 8.36% from January 16 [8][19] - Supply uncertainties in the rare earth market are expected to support prices, with significant global supply concentration in China [10][20] - Tin prices are supported by overseas supply uncertainties, with LME tin prices at $54,200 per ton, up 9.66% from January 16 [11][21] - Tungsten market supply-demand imbalance is notable, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 535,500 yuan per ton, up 5.93% from January 16 [13][22] - Uranium supply tightness is expected to persist, with global uranium prices at $63.51 per pound [14][15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are supported by supply constraints, with Indonesia's nickel mining production quota expected to be reduced to 250-260 million tons [1][16] - Cobalt supply is projected to tighten further, with Congo's export quotas confirmed to extend into 2026 [2][17] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony supply remains tight, with domestic prices expected to rise due to export restrictions and seasonal supply issues [6][18] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain strong due to demand support and supply uncertainties, particularly regarding the recovery of key lithium mines [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market is facing supply tightening due to export bans and geopolitical factors, with China maintaining a dominant position [10][20] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][21] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices expected to rise due to limited new supply [13][22] Uranium Industry Update - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the small metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The supply-demand tension continues, with tungsten and tin prices breaking historical highs [4] - Rare earth elements are experiencing a supply tightness, leading to increased prices, particularly for praseodymium and neodymium oxide, which rose by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton [12] - Molybdenum prices are expected to stabilize due to cost support and improved supply-demand dynamics, despite a recent decline [23] - Tungsten prices are at historical highs due to supply contraction and price increases in long-term contracts [30] - Tin prices are strong due to macroeconomic factors and ongoing supply disruptions, with SHFE tin rising by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton [33] - Antimony prices are fluctuating, awaiting signals for export recovery, with recent increases noted [42] Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton, while dysprosium decreased by 1.39% to 1,420,000 CNY/ton [12][4] - The supply side remains tight due to policy and supply constraints, while demand from downstream magnetic material companies has shifted from just-in-time purchasing to stockpiling [4] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices fell by 1.94% to 4,035 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron prices decreased by 1.90% to 258,500 CNY/ton [23] - The market sentiment is supported by a stabilization in international molybdenum oxide prices and reduced mine shipments [23] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices rose by 11.43% to 536,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices increased by 12.06% to 790,000 CNY/ton [30] - Supply is tightening due to reduced mining quotas and slower production rates, while domestic demand remains stable [30] Tin - SHFE tin prices increased by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton, and LME tin prices rose by 21.73% to 54,200 USD/ton [33] - Supply disruptions from key mining regions and strong demand from traditional and emerging sectors are driving price increases [33] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices rose by 1.26% to 160,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices increased by 1.42% to 142,500 CNY/ton [42] - The supply remains tight, and demand is expected to decline as the market approaches the Lunar New Year [42]

烟台正海磁性材料股份有限公司成立于2000年4月，法定代表人为王庆凯，经营范围为生产销售各种磁 性材料及相关元器件，货物和技术的进出口。股东信息显示，该公司由正海集团有限公司、山东省国有 资产投资控股有限公司、烟台正海置业有限公司等共同持股。 来源：中国能源网 天眼查工商信息显示，近日，正海磁材（300224）发生工商变更，注册资本由约8.4亿人民币增至约9.3 亿人民币，增幅约11%。 ...

北方稀土2025年以来涨幅超过140%，公司是全球最大稀土企业集团和稀土产业基地，主要生产经营稀 土原料产品、稀土功能材料产品及部分稀土终端应用产品。 稀土价格上涨，与上游原材料现货供应紧张价格上调有很大关系。1月9日，国内两大稀土巨头北方稀土 与包钢股份双双公告，对2026年第一季度稀土精矿交易价格进行调涨，调整后的价格为不含税26834元/ 吨（干量，REO=50%）。这是自2024年三季度起，稀土精矿交易价格连续第6次上调。 近年来，上游稀土产业经历了集团整合，强化了国内稀土行业集中度，稀土开采和冶炼分离指标也在稳 步释放。根据工信部及中信证券的预测，2023年，我国稀土开采矿量为25.5万吨，冶炼分离产量24.4万 吨。预测2030年国内稀土开采量52.1万吨，冶炼分离产量51.9万吨。从全球来看，预计2030年全球稀土 供应量为68.1万吨。 从需求来看，中信建投表示，预计2026年全球新能源汽车产量将增长至超2600万辆，对应钕铁硼永磁材 料需求量将达到6.6万吨，汽车领域对钕铁硼总需求量接近8万吨。与此同时，包括汽车以及工业电机、 风力发电、工业机器人、人形机器人、节能电梯、变频空调、生活用品在 ...

Core Viewpoint - As of January 19, 14 listed companies in Shandong have disclosed their annual performance forecasts, with 8 companies expecting profits and 6 anticipating losses [1] Group 1: Profit Forecasts - Zhenghai Magnetic Materials is expected to have the highest net profit, projected between 310 million to 380 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 235.72% to 311.52% [2][3] - Wohua Pharmaceutical forecasts a net profit of 80 million to 115 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 119.76% to 215.90% [2][3] - Shandong Zhanggu is expected to achieve a net profit of 72 million to 80 million yuan, with a growth rate of 0.65% to 11.83% [3] - Dongcheng Environmental Protection anticipates a net profit of 55 million to 70 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 29.11% to 64.32% [3] - Jiujia Family forecasts a net profit of 51.5 million to 66.8 million yuan, with a significant increase of 226.86% to 323.97% [3] - Haineng Technology expects a net profit of 41 million to 44 million yuan, with growth of 213.65% to 236.61% [3] - KJ Intelligent anticipates a net profit of 29.5 million to 34 million yuan [3] - Delisi forecasts a net profit of 4 million to 6 million yuan, with a growth of 111.88% to 117.82% [4] Group 2: Loss Forecasts - Delisi expects a net profit of -61 million to -63 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses, a decline of 24.28% to 28.35% year-on-year [4] - Weiyuan Co. predicts the largest loss, with a net profit forecast of -950 million to -1.05 billion yuan, impacted by significant impairment provisions [5] - Shandong Fiberglass anticipates a loss of -1.474 million to -983 million yuan, but this represents an improvement of 8.419 million to 8.910 million yuan compared to the previous year [6]

A股 Market Updates - On January 15, multiple A-share companies released their performance forecasts for 2025, with many expecting significant profit increases. SAIC Motor Corporation anticipates a net profit growth of up to 558%, while companies like Shengnuo Biological and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials expect increases exceeding 200% [2] - Jiamei Packaging announced that its stock has triggered redemption clauses due to its closing price being above 130% of the conversion price for 15 out of the last 30 trading days [2] - ST Chengchang and Zhizhi New Materials announced their resumption of trading after completing investigations into recent abnormal stock price fluctuations [2] - ST Aowei reported that its stock closed at 0.99 CNY per share, warning that if it remains below 1 CNY for 20 consecutive trading days, it may face delisting from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] Logistics and E-commerce - SF Holding and Jitu Express announced a strategic mutual shareholding agreement, involving an investment transaction amounting to nearly 8.3 billion HKD [3] - Ctrip is under investigation by the State Administration for Market Regulation, leading to a significant drop in its stock price, with a 6.49% decline on the day of the announcement and a further 20% drop the following day, resulting in a market value loss exceeding 100 billion CNY [3] Financial Data - In 2025, the total number of new A-share accounts reached 27.44 million, a 10% increase year-on-year, marking a three-year high, with total A-share investors exceeding 250 million [4] - The People's Bank of China reported that by the end of 2025, the social financing scale reached 442.12 trillion CNY, growing by 8.3% year-on-year, while the RMB loan balance was 271.91 trillion CNY, up 6.4% [5] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission approved an adjustment to the margin ratio for financing, increasing the minimum margin requirement from 80% to 100%, effective January 19, 2026 [5] Gold Reserves - As of the end of November 2025, non-U.S. countries' official gold reserves exceeded 900 million troy ounces, valued at approximately 3.82 trillion USD [6] Infrastructure and Technology - The State Grid Corporation announced that its fixed asset investment is expected to reach 4 trillion CNY during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan [7] - Alibaba's Qianwen App has integrated with various Alibaba ecosystem services, launching over 400 AI functionalities to enhance user experience in daily tasks [7] - Shanghai's new action plan aims to implement L4 autonomous driving technology in various scenarios by 2027, targeting over 6 million passenger trips and 800,000 TEU in freight transport [7] Housing Policy - A joint announcement from the Ministry of Finance, State Taxation Administration, and Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development extended personal income tax policies supporting housing purchases from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027 [8] Trade Performance - China's total foreign trade in 2025 reached 45.47 trillion CNY, a 3.8% increase, setting a historical record and maintaining its position as the world's largest goods trading nation [8]

智通财经1月15日讯（记者 汪斌）通过持续优化产品结构与客户结构，正海磁材（300224.SZ）自2024 年业绩低谷后实现强势反弹。 正海磁材今晚发布的业绩预增公告显示，预计2025年全年实现归母净利润3.1亿元至3.8亿元，同比增长 235.72%-311.52%；扣非后净利润预计为2.79亿元至3.49亿元，同比增长363.98%-480.39%。 正海磁材是高性能钕铁硼永磁材料行业的头部企业之一，公司高性能钕铁硼永磁材料主要应用在新能 源、节能化和智能化等"三能"高端应用领域，包括新能源汽车、风电等新能源，汽车节能电气、节能家 电、节能电梯，人形机器人和低空飞行器等智能装备、手机等智能消费电子等。 值得一提的是，正海磁材正全力拓展人形机器人等潜力市场。其表示，公司技术可高度匹配人形机器人 用空心杯电机和无框力矩电机等核心部件需求，2025年5月，公司已向下游客户小批量供货。 据悉，公司现有产能3万吨/年。2025年11月，正海磁材在投资者互动平台上表示，公司已于11月取得两 用物项出口通用许可批复，公司产能利用率持续高位运行。 与此同时，2024年公司对新能源汽车电机驱动系统业务进行经营优化及业务收缩 ...

Group 1: Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) - AIIB President Jin Liqun will complete his term on January 15, 2026, after being elected as the first president in 2016 and re-elected in 2020. He expresses confidence in the future leadership of the new president, Zhao Jiayi [1] - AIIB, headquartered in Beijing with China as the largest shareholder, has grown its membership to 111 countries and approved nearly $70 billion in financing over its ten years of operation, contributing significantly to global infrastructure development and financial governance [1] Group 2: Xibei Restaurant - Xibei Restaurant confirmed the closure of 102 stores, accounting for approximately 30% of its total outlets, affecting around 4,000 employees. This decision stems from ongoing operational difficulties triggered by the pre-made food controversy in September 2025 [15] - The founder, Jia Guolong, acknowledged this event as the company's biggest external crisis and reflected on the need for better consumer engagement. Xibei is implementing measures such as product customization, a nearly 20% price reduction on core products, and the promotion of "sunshine kitchens" to recover from the crisis [15] Group 3: Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.25 percentage point reduction in various structural monetary policy tool rates on January 15, 2026, aimed at lowering bank funding costs and directing credit resources to key areas such as small and micro enterprises, technological innovation, and green development [16] - This move is seen as a specific measure to implement a flexible monetary policy and conduct counter-cyclical adjustments, helping to stabilize market expectations and create space for potential future policy rate cuts [16] Group 4: U.S. Oil Sales - The U.S. has officially begun selling Venezuelan oil, with the first transaction valued at $500 million. This marks a significant shift in U.S. energy policy towards Venezuela, aimed at alleviating global energy supply pressures [17] Group 5: SF Express and Jitu - SF Express and Jitu announced a strategic shareholding agreement worth HKD 8.3 billion, with both companies acquiring 10% and 4.29% of each other's shares, respectively, with a five-year lock-up period [18] - This partnership signifies a transition from business collaboration to capital and strategic synergy, aiming to integrate SF's cross-border logistics advantages with Jitu's overseas last-mile network to expand in global markets [18] Group 6: U.S. Stock Market - On January 16, U.S. stock indices collectively rose, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq increasing by 0.60%, 0.26%, and 0.25%, respectively. Chip stocks performed strongly, driven by TSMC's impressive earnings report [19][20] - The banking sector also showed robust performance, with major financial institutions like BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup seeing their stock prices rise [19][20] Group 7: Chinese Household Deposits - By the end of 2025, China's household deposit balance reached a record high of CNY 166.41 trillion, with broad money (M2) increasing to CNY 340.29 trillion. The M2 growth rate indicates a loose funding environment, while the M1 growth rate reflects insufficient corporate expansion willingness [23] Group 8: State Grid Investment - The State Grid plans to invest CNY 4 trillion during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan. The investment will focus on supporting the annual addition of 200 million kilowatts of renewable energy installations and enhancing system regulation capabilities [27] - This initiative aims to improve the capacity for west-to-east power transmission and support the development of clean energy bases, driving growth in the industry chain [27] Group 9: Kweichow Moutai - Kweichow Moutai has significantly reduced the contract prices for several key products and increased the volume on its direct sales platform "iMoutai" in early 2026. This decision follows a decline in the company's growth rate to a near ten-year low in Q3 2025 [28] - The company is responding to market pressures by lowering prices and strengthening direct sales, which may undermine its products' perceived financial attributes [28]

1月15日晚，A股公司密集发布2025年度业绩预告，业绩预喜公司频出。从已披露数据看，不少企业净 利润预计实现大幅增长。 其中，上汽集团预告净利润同比增幅最高达558%，圣诺生物、正海磁材等公司预增幅均超过200%，反 映出部分行业景气度回升与企业自身提质增效的积极成果。业绩增长动因多元，包括新项目投产放量、 产品销量与价格上升、市场拓展顺利以及前期基数调整等因素。 上汽集团1月15日晚公告称，公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为90亿元到110亿元， 同比增加73亿元到93亿元，同比增长438%到558%。 上汽集团表示，公司2025年实现整车批发销量450.75万辆，比上年同期增长12.32%。此外，2024年公司 合营企业上汽通用汽车有限公司及其控股子公司计提相关资产减值准备，该事项减少公司2024年归属于 母公司所有者的净利润78.74亿元。 上汽集团网站披露的信息显示，公司是目前国内产销规模最大的汽车集团。Wind数据显示，截至1月15 日收盘，上汽集团股价报14.87元/股，最新市值为1709亿元。 宝丰能源1月15日晚公告称，公司预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润11 ...

Market Overview - On January 15, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4112.6 points, down 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.41% and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.56% [1] - The total market turnover was approximately 2.93 trillion yuan, a decrease of over 1 trillion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with more than 2200 stocks closing higher, including 63 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Sector Performance - The precious metals sector led the gains, with Sichuan Gold hitting the daily limit. Other sectors that saw gains included electronic chemicals, photoresists, SMIC concepts, and agricultural chemicals [1] - Conversely, sectors such as Xiaohongshu concepts, internet e-commerce, and Sora video saw significant declines [1] Historical Highs - A total of 88 stocks reached historical closing highs, with notable concentrations in the electronics, non-ferrous metals, and machinery equipment sectors, which had 25, 15, and 14 stocks respectively [2] - The average price increase for stocks reaching historical highs was 4.74%, with stocks like Dongfang Tieta and Decai Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit, and Shanghai Xinyang, Helin Weina, and Sudawige showing significant gains [2] Institutional Activity - In the龙虎榜, 16 stocks were net bought, with 13 stocks seeing net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan. The top net buyer was Shenguang Group with 494 million yuan, followed by Sanwei Communication with 279 million yuan [5] - Conversely, the top net seller was Liou Co., Ltd. with a net sell of 432 million yuan, followed by Zhongke Xingtou, Shanzi Gaoke, and Vision China, each exceeding 200 million yuan in net sales [5] Northbound Capital Flow - Among the stocks on the龙虎榜, 10 stocks received net purchases from northbound funds, with Wolong Nuclear Materials leading at 254 million yuan. Other notable net buyers included Zhongke Xingtou, Hezhuan Intelligent, and Xidian Co., Ltd. [7] - Northbound funds sold off 23 stocks, with Shanzi Gaoke leading the net sell at 315 million yuan, which hit the daily limit down [7] Company Announcements - Gree Electric Appliances announced a mid-year dividend distribution of 10 yuan per 10 shares, with the record date set for January 22, 2025 [10] - Longpan Technology expects to have procurement transactions with Ningde Times not exceeding 7 billion yuan in 2026 [11] - Zhi Te New Materials clarified that its business does not involve AI applications and will resume trading tomorrow [12] - Zhejiang Construction reported a cumulative new contract amount of 146.816 billion yuan for the year 2025 [14] - Zhenghai Magnetic Materials expects a net profit increase of 235.72% to 311.52% year-on-year for 2025 [16] - Shengnuo Bio anticipates a net profit increase of 204% to 281% year-on-year for 2025 due to growing demand for peptide raw materials [18]