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盐湖股份(000792):经营稳健,韧性十足

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.119 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.43% [2][4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.145 billion yuan, up 22.52% year-on-year but down 24.8% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The company achieved a sales gross margin of 53.44%, an increase of 7.39 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit margin of 40.41%, up 8.04 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company produced 964,900 tons of potassium chloride, a decrease of 34% quarter-on-quarter, and sold 891,100 tons, down 41% quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The average price of potassium chloride in Q1 2025 was approximately 2,647 yuan per ton, reflecting a 7% increase quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The company produced 8,500 tons of lithium carbonate, an 11% increase quarter-on-quarter, while sales were 810 tons, down 32% quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in Q1 2025 was about 75,800 yuan per ton, a decrease of 1% quarter-on-quarter [5]. Strategic Outlook - The strategic significance of potassium and lithium resources is increasing, with expectations for the company to benefit from resource integration under the leadership of Minmetals Group [11]. - The company has a stable cash flow from its potassium fertilizer business and substantial cash reserves of 13.9 billion yuan as of Q1 2025, which supports future dividend expectations [11]. - The lithium business is projected to see a threefold increase in equity capacity with the launch of a 40,000-ton lithium salt project expected in 2025, enhancing long-term growth potential [11].