藏格矿业（000408）：2024年报点评：巨龙经营强劲，静待麻米错矿证落地

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.58 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 24.56%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.547 billion yuan, down 28.76% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 712 million yuan, an increase of 57.76% year-on-year and 24.71% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 32.51 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 14.60 billion yuan, representing a gross margin of 45% [14]. - The copper segment produced 166,300 tons with revenue of 12.838 billion yuan and a net profit of 6.263 billion yuan. The company holds a 30.78% stake in the copper business, yielding an investment income of 1.928 billion yuan, accounting for 75% of the net profit [9]. - The lithium segment generated revenue of 1.022 billion yuan, down 48% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 45.44%, a decrease of 35.07 percentage points. The net profit was 491 million yuan, with lithium production at 11,566 tons, a 4% decrease year-on-year [9]. - The potassium segment reported revenue of 2.21 billion yuan, down 31% year-on-year, with a net profit of 261 million yuan. The average selling price of potassium chloride was 2,115 yuan per ton, down 15% year-on-year [9]. Future Outlook - The company has set production and sales targets for 2025, aiming for potassium chloride production of 1 million tons and sales of 950,000 tons, as well as lithium carbonate production and sales of 11,000 tons each [9]. - The company is accelerating copper production expansion, with the second phase of the copper project expected to commence production by the end of 2025, significantly enhancing profitability [9]. - The company is also advancing lithium resource development, with expectations for faster progress in obtaining mining permits [9].