Yuanjie Semiconductor Technology (SH:688498) Goldman Sachs·2025-05-28 05:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for YJ Semitech is "Sell" with a 12-month price target of Rmb100, indicating a downside potential of 21.9% from the current price of Rmb128.04 [8][10]. Core Insights - YJ Semitech is experiencing strong demand for its Continuous Wave (CW) lasers, particularly from key customers in the silicon photonics transceiver market, and is planning to ramp up shipments significantly in the coming quarters [2][8]. - The company is expanding its production capacity to meet the increasing demand for CW lasers and aims to reach a capacity of low tens of millions of units per year by 2026 [2][8]. - YJ Semitech's CW laser pricing is slightly below that of global peers, and its datacom segment gross margin was reported at 71% in 2024, driven mainly by customized products [4][8]. Summary by Sections CW Laser Ramp Outlook - Management maintains a positive outlook for CW laser shipments, driven by strong demand from key customers [2]. - The company is addressing supply tightness in CW and EML lasers by expanding output capacity through additional equipment and improved yield levels [2]. Competitive Barriers - The competitive landscape is characterized by high switching costs for customers, who evaluate suppliers based on product quality, reliability, delivery capability, and capacity scale [3]. Margins and Pricing Comparison - The gross margin for the datacom segment was 71% in 2024, while CW lasers are expected to have a gross margin below the segment average [4]. - The company is currently priced slightly below its global peers, indicating potential pricing power in the future [4]. 100G EML Outlook - YJ Semitech's 100G EML products have passed customer qualifications but are not yet in mass production due to prioritization of CW laser production [6]. - As capacity expands, the company anticipates more room for EML production, which will aid in ramping up EML products [6].