RADICAL(300652) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-05-28 09:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company achieved a slight decline of approximately 0.2% in net profit attributable to the parent in 2024, but saw a growth of about 6% in Q1 2025 [1] - The company is expanding into the screw rod sector through the acquisition of a 51% stake in Tongzhan Precision Technology, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge and extend its industrial chain [3] - The domestic market for hub units and reducer bearings is projected to reach approximately 104.2 billion yuan by 2026, with the company expected to benefit significantly from the growth in the new energy vehicle market [4] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.05 billion, 1.48 billion, and 1.74 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 41%, and 17% respectively [5] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 740 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.53%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, which was a slight decline of 0.18% [1] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was approximately 31.61%, down by 0.41 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 16.24%, down by 2.23 percentage points [2] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 186 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.55%, and a net profit of 34.94 million yuan, a growth of 6.22% [1][2] Market Outlook - The company is expected to capture over 20% market share in the domestic new energy vehicle hub unit and reducer bearing front-end market after the third factory reaches full capacity [4] - The company has established partnerships with several major automotive manufacturers, which is expected to translate into significant orders [4]