SCSF(600779) 天风证券·2025-05-29 14:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant growth in its non-net profit for Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 23.63% [1] - The company is focusing on enhancing its market presence through the expansion of its store network and new sales channels, which has shown promising results [3] - The company anticipates that reforms will yield positive results in 2025, despite a slight adjustment in profit forecasts due to industry adjustments [5] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company's revenue is projected to be 5.22 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.32% [6] - The company's gross profit margin for 2024 is expected to be 82.76%, slightly down from the previous year, while the net profit margin is projected to be 25.71% [4] - The company reported a decrease in the number of distributors in Q1 2025, but an increase in the average scale of distributors, indicating a shift towards larger, more efficient operations [3] Sales and Product Performance - The mid-range product "Zhen Niang Ba Hao" is identified as a key driver for revenue growth, with a significant increase in sales volume [2] - The sales of high-end liquor in 2024 increased by 2.73% in volume, while the average price per ton decreased by 0.72% [2] - The company has successfully increased its market share through the opening of 10,000 new stores in 2024 [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 5.48 billion, 5.85 billion, and 6.18 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.42 billion, 1.55 billion, and 1.67 billion yuan [5] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from 2.75 yuan in 2024 to 3.42 yuan in 2027 [6]