赛富时：1QFY26 cRPO growth beats expectation; Data Cloud & AI momentum continues-20250530

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Salesforce, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [17]. Core Insights - Salesforce reported a total revenue growth of 8% YoY to US$9.8 billion in 1QFY26, with non-GAAP operating income also increasing by 8$3.2 billion, both aligning with Bloomberg consensus estimates [1]. - The company's current remaining performance obligation (cRPO) grew by 12% YoY to US$29.6 billion, exceeding consensus estimates by 2$400 million to a range of US$41.0-41.3 billion, reflecting a YoY growth of 8-9$1 billion, up over 120% YoY [8]. - Salesforce's acquisition of Informatica for approximately US$8 billion is expected to enhance its Data Cloud capabilities and is projected to be accretive to non-GAAP operating profit margin (OPM), earnings per share (EPS), and free cash flow (FCF) within two years post-close [8][11]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY26E, total revenue is projected at US$41.1 billion, with adjusted net profit expected to reach US$10.97 billion, reflecting a YoY growth of 8.5$11.30, with a P/E ratio of 38.1x [2][14]. - The report indicates a target price of US$388.00 per share, based on a valuation of 21x FY26E EV/EBITDA, which is at a discount to the sector average of 24x [3][11]. Business Forecasts Update - The report revises revenue forecasts for FY26E, FY27E, and FY28E upwards by 0.4$14.0 billion, with a non-GAAP OPM of 34.0%, maintaining a 1 percentage point increase YoY [9][10]. - The gross margin is projected to be 77.9% for FY26E, with a gradual increase in profitability metrics over the forecast period [10][15].