Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for SANY International, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [19]. Core Insights - SANY International's net profit for 1Q25 increased by 23% year-on-year to RMB635 million, marking the first quarterly profit growth since 3Q23. This growth was attributed to strong performance in large port machinery, oil & gas equipment, overseas mining trucks, and other emerging businesses [1][8]. - The report expresses optimism regarding SANY International's sustainable overseas growth and gradual stabilization in the domestic coal mining equipment sector. The earnings forecast remains unchanged, with a target price set at HK$8.20, reflecting an attractive valuation of 8x 2025E P/E amid earnings recovery [1][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB20,278 million in FY23A to RMB25,110 million in FY25E, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.6% [2]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to increase from RMB1,929 million in FY23A to RMB2,159 million in FY25E, with a year-on-year growth of 16.7% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from RMB0.61 in FY23A to RMB0.67 in FY25E [2]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 8.0x in FY25E, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [2]. Share Performance - The current market capitalization of SANY International is approximately HK$18,801.3 million, with a current share price of HK$5.85, suggesting a potential upside of 40.2% to the target price [3]. - Over the past three months, the stock has experienced a 26.9% increase in absolute terms [5]. Shareholding Structure - Sany Heavy Equipment holds a significant 66.4% stake in SANY International, indicating strong insider confidence in the company's future [4].
三一国际:1Q25 net profit surged 23% YoY, holding up better-than-feared-20250530