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古井贡酒(000596):2024年股东大会点评:逆势前行,稳字当头

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Gujing Gongjiu, with a target price of 300 CNY [1]. Core Views - The company is navigating industry cyclicality with a focus on steady growth, emphasizing long-term high-quality development while addressing short-term market pressures [1]. - The management's pragmatic approach includes enhancing operational efficiency and expanding market share through innovative strategies [1]. - The company aims to strengthen its internal operations and optimize marketing management to foster long-term competitiveness [1]. Financial Performance Summary - Projected total revenue for 2024 is 23,578 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.4%. This is expected to grow to 31,758 million CNY by 2027, with a gradual decline in growth rates [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 5,518 million CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 20.2%, reaching 7,678 million CNY by 2027 [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 10.44 CNY in 2024, increasing to 14.53 CNY by 2027, with a corresponding decrease in price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 15 to 11 over the same period [1]. Market Strategy - The company is focusing on maintaining market share and enhancing product quality, with specific initiatives to improve sales channels and customer engagement [1]. - Gujing Gongjiu is adopting a nationwide expansion strategy while emphasizing localized market penetration in core regions [1]. - The management is committed to a pragmatic approach, adjusting growth targets to ensure sustainable operations amidst industry challenges [1].