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小商品城深度系列之三:出口突围提升全球竞争力,进口升级重构贸易新格局

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Insights - The report focuses on the deepening of international trade reforms in Yiwu, which is expected to enhance the efficiency of consumer goods imports and significantly boost the growth potential of the company [3][5] - The company has successfully transformed from a traditional commercial property operator to a comprehensive foreign trade service provider, benefiting from the new round of international trade reform [5][8] - The report highlights the importance of Yiwu as a global hub for small commodities, with a strong manufacturing base and a vibrant trade ecosystem [5][17] Summary by Sections New Round of International Trade Reform in Yiwu - The Yiwu market is recognized as the largest small commodity distribution center globally, with a population growth rate surpassing major first-tier and new first-tier cities [5][17] - The State Council approved the "Overall Plan for Deepening International Trade Comprehensive Reform in Yiwu," which aims to establish a higher-level international trade window and enhance the city's global competitiveness [20][24] Import: Expanding High-Quality Opening Up - China's foreign trade policy is shifting towards actively expanding imports, with the central economic work conference emphasizing the need for high-quality opening up [6][26] - The report notes that the current import growth rate is lagging behind exports, indicating significant potential for improvement in the import structure [6][32] Export: Policy Benefits Creating Export Trade Prosperity - Yiwu has benefited from innovative market procurement trade methods, which have simplified the export process and reduced costs [7][8] - The report anticipates that the new reform plan will further enhance the market procurement trade model, driving export growth despite global trade uncertainties [7][8] Investment Recommendations: Positive Outlook on Performance Growth - The company is expected to see significant growth driven by the resonance of new and old businesses, with a projected EPS of 0.75, 0.95, and 1.14 yuan for 2025-2027 [8] - The report emphasizes the strategic positioning of the company in emerging market economic cooperation, which is expected to unlock new growth opportunities [8]