GUJING(000596) Huachuang Securities·2025-05-30 07:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Gujing Gongjiu, with a target price of 300 RMB [1]. Core Views - The company is navigating industry cyclicality with a focus on steady growth, emphasizing long-term high-quality development while actively capturing market share [1]. - The management acknowledges the current pressures in the liquor industry but believes that the unique product attributes of liquor allow it to withstand economic cycles [1]. - The company is committed to enhancing operational efficiency and market penetration, focusing on internal management optimization and external market expansion [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2024A: 23,578 million RMB - 2025E: 26,086 million RMB (16.4% YoY growth) - 2026E: 28,813 million RMB (10.6% YoY growth) - 2027E: 31,758 million RMB (10.5% YoY growth) [1] - Net Profit Forecast: - 2024A: 5,518 million RMB - 2025E: 6,143 million RMB (20.2% YoY growth) - 2026E: 6,862 million RMB (11.3% YoY growth) - 2027E: 7,678 million RMB (11.7% YoY growth) [1] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024A: 10.44 RMB - 2025E: 11.62 RMB - 2026E: 12.98 RMB - 2027E: 14.53 RMB [1] - Valuation Ratios: - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is projected at 13 times, indicating attractive valuation [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on practical operations and enhancing product offerings, particularly in the mid-range price segment, to drive growth [1]. - Management is implementing a four-pronged strategy to alleviate channel pressures, including boosting sales, reducing inventory, expanding channels, and stabilizing prices [1]. - The company aims to build a robust marketing team and enhance product competitiveness through improved pricing strategies and product quality [1].