山西汾酒（600809）：2024年股东大会点评：灵活从容，经营平稳

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Shanxi Fenjiu (600809) with a target price of 285 CNY [1] Core Views - The company held its 2024 annual shareholders' meeting on May 29, where management provided transparent communication regarding industry outlook, operational plans, investment, and dividend policies [1] - The company aims for long-term stable and healthy development, focusing on a flexible operational strategy and targeting younger demographics with new product lines [1][6] - The report highlights the company's strong operational quality and potential for increasing dividend rates, projecting a dividend payout ratio of 60% for 2024 and a dividend yield of 3.5% for 2025 [6] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 36,011 million CNY in 2024 to 45,917 million CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.4% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 12,243 million CNY in 2024 to 16,101 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 11.5% [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 10.04 CNY in 2024 to 13.20 CNY in 2027 [2] - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio of 30.75% and a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 19 in 2024 to 14 in 2027 [3][2] Operational Insights - The company is focusing on four main product lines: Glass Fen, Old White Fen, Qinghua 20, and Qinghua 26 + 30, with a resource allocation strategy of 1:3:3:3 [6] - The company has achieved over 65.8% of its sales from outside its home province, indicating successful national expansion [6] - The "Fen Enjoyment" channel has seen improved acceptance, with over 88.9 million active terminals, and the company plans to enhance marketing efficiency and cost-effectiveness [6]