Lifan(601777) Tianfeng Securities·2025-05-30 15:15Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Qianli Technology, targeting a price of 11.06 CNY, representing a potential upside of 33.6% from the current price of 8.28 CNY [6][58]. Core Insights - Qianli Technology, formerly known as Lifan Technology, is undergoing a significant transformation towards AI and smart vehicle integration, particularly after the entry of founder Yin Qi from Megvii Technology [1][2]. - The company is leveraging partnerships with Geely and Cao Cao Mobility to enhance its smart driving capabilities and develop a comprehensive ecosystem for autonomous vehicles [3][36]. - Financial projections indicate substantial growth in net profit, with expected figures of 0.81 billion CNY, 1.33 billion CNY, and 2.36 billion CNY for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 101.2%, 64.6%, and 78.4% respectively [3][58]. Summary by Sections 1. Management Changes and Strategic Transformation - Qianli Technology has evolved from Lifan Technology, which was established in 1992, initially focusing on motorcycle engines and later expanding into passenger vehicles [1][13]. - The company underwent two major restructurings, with Geely and the Chongqing Liangjiang Fund becoming significant stakeholders post-bankruptcy in 2020, leading to a strategic pivot towards AI and smart vehicles [1][16]. - In 2024, the company rebranded to Qianli Technology, emphasizing its commitment to smart and international development [1][19]. 2. AI and Smart Driving Strategy - The partnership with Geely has enabled Qianli Technology to develop the "Qianli Haohan" smart driving system, which encompasses various levels of autonomous driving capabilities [2][28]. - The company is also collaborating with Cao Cao Mobility to launch Robotaxi services, marking a significant step in the commercialization of autonomous driving in China [3][36]. - Qianli Technology is focusing on enhancing its AI capabilities, particularly in large model applications and smart cockpit solutions, to improve user interaction and vehicle intelligence [48][51]. 3. Financial Forecast and Valuation Analysis - Revenue projections for Qianli Technology indicate a growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 8.33 billion CNY, 10.02 billion CNY, and 12.44 billion CNY for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 18.4%, 20.3%, and 24.1% respectively [53][54]. - The company's gross margin is anticipated to improve, reaching 9.99%, 10.66%, and 11.08% over the same period [54]. - Valuation comparisons with peers in the smart driving and Robotaxi sectors suggest a favorable outlook, with a target market capitalization of 500 billion CNY by 2025 [56][58].