XWXN(SH:688778) Tianfeng Securities·2025-06-01 10:54Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 57 CNY, based on a 30x P/E for 2025 [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company has a strong position in the lithium battery cathode materials market, particularly as a global leader in lithium cobalt oxide, with a market share of approximately 47% in 2024 [1][34]. - The company is expected to benefit from stable demand for lithium cobalt oxide, optimization of customer structure for ternary materials, and an increase in market share for lithium iron phosphate [5]. - New product developments, including NL cathode materials and sulfide electrolytes, are anticipated to open new growth avenues for the company [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has over 20 years of experience in lithium battery cathode materials and is recognized as a global leader in lithium cobalt oxide [1]. - In 2024, the company shipped 46,200 tons of lithium cobalt oxide, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.52% [24][34]. Product Segments - Lithium Cobalt Oxide: The company maintains a leading position with high voltage products that are favored in the consumer electronics sector [1][34]. - Ternary Materials: The company has developed high voltage and high power ternary materials, which are gaining traction in applications such as drones [2][41]. - NL Materials: These materials are expected to meet the rising demands for high voltage, high energy density, and high cycle life in battery applications [3]. - Lithium Sulfide: The company is leveraging its technological expertise to produce lithium sulfide with both performance and cost advantages [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 800 million CNY, 945 million CNY, and 1.19 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 62%, 18%, and 26% [5]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 13.30 billion CNY, with a decline of 23.19% year-on-year, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [24]. Market Dynamics - The global demand for lithium cobalt oxide is expected to grow steadily, driven by the increasing average capacity of consumer electronics [2]. - The company has established stable partnerships with leading global battery manufacturers, which supports its sales growth in lithium cobalt oxide [2].