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翔楼新材(301160):精冲材料迈向高端化,开辟机器人第二增长极

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 105.7 CNY, based on a 35X PE for 2025 [5][48]. Core Insights - The company has been deeply engaged in the precision stamping special steel materials sector for twenty years and is now venturing into the humanoid robot field, applying its materials innovatively in harmonic and planetary gear reducers [1][12]. - The domestic automotive market shows strong demand for precision stamping materials, with opportunities for domestic substitution as the country still relies on imports for high-end materials [2][28]. - The company has developed significant core technologies in precision cold rolling and heat treatment, allowing it to compete effectively with international giants like Wills, offering products at 30%-50% lower prices than foreign competitors [2][32]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in customized precision stamping special steel materials, primarily used in various automotive components, and plans to expand into the robot sector by 2024 [1][12]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with the chairman holding 30.16% of the shares, which is favorable for long-term development [14]. Main Business - The demand for precision stamping materials in the automotive sector is robust, with a current market demand of approximately 1 million tons per year in China [2][28]. - The company has maintained a strong focus on independent research and development, achieving performance levels close to international competitors [2][32]. - The new plant in Anhui is expected to add 150,000 tons of capacity, expanding the company's total capacity to 300,000 tons [2][34]. Robotics Sector - The company is innovatively applying precision stamping technology to the harmonic reducer flexible wheel material, which is crucial for reducing costs and improving efficiency in humanoid robot production [3][38]. - The flexible wheel's quality is critical for the fatigue life of harmonic reducers, which are essential components in humanoid robots [38]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to reach 1.78 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-over-year growth of 20%, and net profit is expected to be 245 million CNY, growing by 18.45% [4][45]. - The company anticipates a steady increase in revenue and profit margins as it expands into high-end markets [4][45]. Valuation - The report compares the company with peers like Siling Co., Longsheng Technology, and Keda Li, with an average valuation of 41X for 2025, leading to a target PE of 35X for the company [48][49].