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骄成超声(688392):配件+线束基本盘向上,半导体封测突破

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to see growth driven by its accessory and harness businesses, with semiconductor contributions providing additional growth. The accessory business benefits from a consumable nature entering an iterative cycle, while the semiconductor segment is expanding into wafer, 2.5D/3D packaging, and panel-level packaging products. Successful validation orders for ultrasonic scanning microscopes from well-known clients have been achieved [3][4]. Financial Data Summary - For 2024, the main revenue is projected to be 585 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 86 million yuan, up 29% year-on-year. The gross margin is forecasted at 56.89%, a slight decrease of 0.09 percentage points [1][4]. - In Q4 2024, the main revenue is expected to reach 176 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 65 million yuan, a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 330% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the revenue is anticipated to be 148 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22%, while the net profit is expected to be 24 million yuan, a substantial increase compared to only 1 million yuan in Q1 2024 [1]. Business Segment Performance - The accessory business is expected to generate revenue of 184 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 70.45%, with a gross margin of 75.93% [2]. - The harness connector ultrasonic equipment business is projected to achieve revenue of 81 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 352.37%, with a gross margin of 59.71% [2]. - The semiconductor ultrasonic equipment segment is expected to generate revenue of 47 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 195.66%, with a gross margin of 56.65% [2]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company has been revised upwards, with expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 being 150 million yuan, 220 million yuan, and 380 million yuan respectively, compared to previous estimates of 90 million yuan, 130 million yuan, and 0 [3][4].