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广联达(002410):触底反转,向AI而生

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6][8]. Core Insights - The company's core business is steadily developing, with significant performance improvement expected in 2024. The digital cost business is evolving from single-position tools to comprehensive cost application scenarios, while the gross profit margin is rising and expenses are being optimized, leading to a rapid recovery in net profit [3][15]. - Policies are expected to boost downstream market conditions, with the SaaS leader poised to embark on a new growth journey. The support for the real estate market is anticipated to enhance downstream information technology spending [4][21]. - The company is comprehensively deploying AI models and applications, integrating deep industry understanding with intelligent technology. The AI capabilities are expected to significantly enhance operational efficiency and decision-making accuracy [5][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Business Development and Performance Improvement - The digital cost business is transitioning to full-process applications, with stable renewal and application rates for traditional cost tools. The number of application projects in the digital design business has increased to 1,440 [3][13]. - The company expects a net profit of 250 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 116.19%, with a non-recurring net profit of 174 million yuan, up 219.92% [15][39]. 2. Policy Support and SaaS Business Growth - In September 2024, the People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration introduced four financial support policies for real estate, which are expected to stabilize the market [4][22]. - The company's SaaS business maintains a gross profit margin above 90%, with improvements in the construction business gross profit margin expected in 2024 [24][23]. 3. AI Model Deployment and Integration - The company has launched the AecGPT AI model and various multi-professional scenario models, addressing specific business challenges in the construction industry [5][30]. - AI capabilities have been integrated into cost estimation products, improving accuracy to approximately 70%, and enhancing design efficiency by 50% in road design applications [5][36]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The company is recognized as a leading digital construction platform service provider, with SaaS model value becoming evident. The expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 450 million, 663 million, and 835 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 50X, 34X, and 27X [6][39].