Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 328 million RMB in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 9.2%, primarily due to reduced orders from new energy vehicle clients [1] - The company achieved a record high gross margin of 23.5% in Q1, the highest in three years [1] - A significant order was signed with Kuka Technology for the delivery of 1.2 million laser radars from 2025 to 2027, which is expected to boost the robotics business [1] - The company is expected to benefit from increasing demand for laser radars in intelligent driving and robotics, with revenue growth anticipated to accelerate starting in Q2 [1] Summary by Sections Laser Radar Business - In Q1 2025, the company shipped 96,700 ADAS laser radars, down from 116,000 in the same period last year, mainly due to order declines from major clients [2] - The company has secured contracts with 30 OEMs and over 100 vehicle models, with the EM4/EMX platforms launched in early 2025 gaining traction [2] - The improvement in semiconductor processes is expected to enhance ADAS gross margins [2] Robotics Business - The company shipped 11,900 units of robotic laser radars in Q1 2025, a significant increase from 4,000 units in the same period last year, driven by price reductions and broader applications [3] - Key clients in the Robotaxi sector include six major companies, and exclusive orders have been signed with leading clients in the lawnmower sector [3] - The company is focusing on humanoid robots and aims to enter mass production soon [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is adjusted to 2.5 billion, 3.7 billion, and 4.9 billion RMB respectively, reflecting slight downward revisions of 4%, 5%, and 5% [4] - The target price is set at 47.58 HKD, based on a comparable company average of 8.5X PS for 2025 [4] - The company is expected to see continuous improvement in gross margins due to the increasing share of higher-margin robotics business [4]
速腾聚创：Q1收入承压，后续增长有望提速-20250604