Sun-Novo(SH:688621) Xinda Securities·2025-06-04 08:23Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the stock of Sunshine Nuohuo (688621) based on its strong clinical data and commercial potential of STC007 [1]. Core Viewpoints - The successful Phase II clinical trial results for STC007 indicate significant pain relief efficacy compared to placebo and comparable to the positive control drug, Tramadol [2][3]. - The opioid market presents substantial growth opportunities, with KOR agonists like STC007 showing advantages over traditional MOR agonists, including reduced side effects and addiction risks [4][5]. - The company is undergoing a business transformation, focusing on a "R&D services + pipeline cultivation + new quality industrial chain" model, which is expected to enhance its market valuation [6][7]. Summary by Sections Clinical Trial Results - STC007 demonstrated superior pain relief in postoperative patients, with significant reductions in pain scores compared to both placebo and Tramadol [2]. - The safety profile of STC007 is favorable, with common side effects being lower than those of Tramadol [3]. Market Potential - The opioid market in China has grown from 193.58 billion in 2019 to 233.68 billion in 2023, indicating a robust demand for pain management solutions [3]. - KOR agonists are positioned to address unmet needs in pain management without the adverse effects associated with traditional opioids [4]. Business Transformation - The company aims to integrate R&D services with a robust pipeline of innovative and improved drugs, enhancing its competitive edge [6]. - Plans to acquire Langyan Life Sciences will strengthen the company's production capabilities and ensure stable supply chains [7]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 1.29 billion in 2025 to 1.78 billion by 2027, with net profit expected to increase from 204 million to 300 million in the same period [8][9]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in EPS, with estimates of 1.82 yuan in 2025 and 2.68 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's financial health [9].