Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 51.30 [7][8]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a significant year-on-year increase in pig output, with April's output reaching 8.11 million heads, a 49% increase compared to the previous year. Cumulatively, from January to April, the total output was 30.77 million heads, up 43% year-on-year [2]. - The complete breeding cost has improved significantly, dropping to RMB 12.4 per kilogram in April, a decrease of approximately RMB 0.7 per kilogram since the beginning of the year. The company aims to reduce the annual complete cost to RMB 12 per kilogram [2]. - The company is advancing its internationalization strategy by submitting an application for H-share issuance, which is expected to enhance its global business footprint and investor relations [3]. Summary by Sections Production and Cost Management - The company has successfully increased its pig output while reducing costs, with a clear path for further cost reductions through improved disease control and feed technology [2]. - The strategy to enhance the value of individual pigs through better meat quality and higher yield from valuable parts is also being implemented [2]. International Expansion and Investor Relations - The submission of the H-share listing application is a strategic move to tap into the global market, which is still expanding. This is expected to reshape the company's investment value perception [3]. - The company emphasizes sustainable cash dividends and plans to adjust its profit distribution policy dynamically to share development benefits with investors [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts for the company, projecting net profits of RMB 19.73 billion, RMB 18.26 billion, and RMB 47.17 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. - The estimated price-to-book ratio for 2025 is maintained at 3.3x, with a target price set at RMB 51.30 [4].
牧原股份:2025年中期策略会速递增出栏+降成本+国际化稳步推进-20250605