Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its strong asset quality and growth potential [6][10]. Core Views - The company holds core solid waste assets in Changsha, with stable profitability and improving cash flow, committing to a long-term dividend payout ratio of no less than 50% under certain conditions [6][12]. - The company has a robust operational performance, with its Changsha waste incineration project achieving industry-leading metrics in terms of revenue and profit per ton [6][12]. - The acquisition of Renhe Environment is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability, with significant revenue contributions anticipated from both domestic and international projects [6][12]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of June 4, 2025, the closing price is 21.79 CNY, with a market capitalization of 12,281.79 million CNY and a circulating market value of 2,149.60 million CNY [4]. Financial Data - The company has maintained a stable dividend of 0.9 CNY per share over the past three years, resulting in a current dividend yield of 4.1% [6][26]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 32.2 billion CNY, 33.1 billion CNY, and 35.9 billion CNY, with corresponding net profits of 7.52 billion CNY, 8.02 billion CNY, and 8.44 billion CNY, reflecting growth rates of 40.3%, 6.62%, and 5.25% respectively [7][10]. Investment Logic - The company focuses on solid waste management in Hunan, with a comprehensive service capability across the entire waste management industry chain [12][15]. - The acquisition of Renhe Environment is expected to enhance the company's operational capabilities in waste transfer and kitchen waste processing, contributing to stable profits [12][44]. - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, with a current project reserve of 7,000 tons/day, which is anticipated to provide continuous growth [12][56]. Profitability and Cash Flow - The company has demonstrated strong cash flow performance, with a cash flow from operations increasing from 7.5 billion CNY in 2020 to 9.7 billion CNY in 2024 [24][26]. - The company’s collection ratio has remained around 1, indicating effective receivables management and lower bad debt risk compared to industry peers [40][47]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is pioneering the integration of waste incineration power generation with data center (IDC) operations, which is expected to enhance profitability and cash flow stability [59][65]. - The collaboration with data centers is aligned with national policies aimed at reducing energy consumption and increasing the use of renewable energy sources [59][64].
军信股份（301109）：手握长沙核心固废资产有望成为IDC协同发展先行者