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中国巨石:2025年中期策略会速递:产能优势稳固,风电、电子景气延续-20250606
CJSCJS(SH:600176) HTSC·2025-06-06 03:00

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 16.40 [8]. Core Views - The company is expected to continue expanding its production capacity, which will solidify its scale advantages. The demand for products such as wind power yarn is anticipated to grow, leading to an increase in revenue contribution and enhanced profitability [1][4]. - The average prices for various fiberglass products have shown year-on-year improvements, with increases of 15% for winding direct yarn, 23% for SMC compound yarn, and 18% for G75 electronic yarn in the first five months of 2025 [2]. - The company has successfully launched new production lines, increasing its domestic fiberglass production capacity to 2.61 million tons by the end of May 2025, which is expected to further enhance its market share [3]. - The wind power and electronics sectors are experiencing high demand, with significant growth in new installations and emerging technologies, positioning the company to benefit from these trends [4]. Summary by Sections Production Capacity and Market Position - The company has two new production lines in Jiujiang, each with a capacity of 100,000 tons, which commenced operations in February and April 2025. The total domestic fiberglass production capacity reached 2.61 million tons by the end of May 2025 [3]. - The company also has overseas production capacities of 360,000 tons in Egypt and 100,000 tons in the United States, which are expected to provide competitive advantages amid tariff uncertainties [3]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s gross margin and net profit margin for Q1 2025 were 30.5% and 16.3%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.4 and 5.9 percentage points [2]. - The forecasted net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is RMB 32.7 billion, RMB 38.5 billion, and RMB 45.6 billion, respectively [5]. Industry Trends and Product Development - The wind power sector saw an addition of 20.0 GW of new installations in the first four months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19%, with April alone witnessing a 255% increase [4]. - The company is actively developing low dielectric constant products to meet the growing demand in the AI sector, positioning itself as a leader in the domestic electronic yarn and fabric market [4].