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明阳智能(601615):2025年中期策略会速递:风机盈利持续修复,海外海风放量可期
MYSEMYSE(SH:601615) HTSC·2025-06-06 07:04

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.58 RMB [9][10]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a strong position in the domestic offshore wind market and a leading overseas offshore wind layout, which will drive significant profit recovery [3][4]. - Domestic offshore wind shipments are projected to increase significantly, with an expected 4GW shipment in 2025, representing a 135% year-on-year growth [4]. - The company has a strong bargaining power and is optimizing costs through improved operational efficiency and increased self-supply of blades, which is likely to enhance profitability [4]. - The European offshore wind market is experiencing high growth, with a forecasted CAGR of 28.6% from 2025 to 2030, and the company is well-positioned to capture orders in this region [5]. - The progress of power station transfers is slowing, but the impact on profitability is expected to be limited due to stable returns from existing projects [6]. Summary by Sections Domestic Offshore Wind Market - The company is expected to see a high increase in domestic offshore wind shipments, with significant projects in Guangdong and Jiangsu starting operations [4]. - The company is projected to achieve a 135% increase in offshore wind shipments in 2025, reaching 4GW [4]. Overseas Market Expansion - The company has a leading position in overseas offshore wind markets, actively engaging in projects in Italy, Scotland, and Norway, as well as entering the Japanese and Korean markets [5]. - The high pricing in Europe and Japan is anticipated to contribute positively to the company's profit margins [5]. Financial Projections - The company’s net profit is forecasted to be 2.206 billion RMB in 2025, with a significant increase of 537.32% compared to the previous year [8]. - Revenue is expected to grow to 38.101 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a 40.29% increase year-on-year [8]. - The report maintains the profit forecast for the company, projecting net profits of 22.06 billion RMB, 31.30 billion RMB, and 39.92 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7].