Haoneng(SH:603809) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-06-06 11:09Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the initial coverage [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is strategically positioned in the transmission system components sector and is proactively entering the robotics field, particularly focusing on the development of robotic reducers [1][3]. - The company has established a comprehensive manufacturing capability across the entire supply chain for its products, including synchronizers and differentials, and is expanding into the aerospace and robotics sectors [1][19]. - The revenue growth is driven by the increasing demand for electric vehicle components and the expansion of its aerospace business, with a projected revenue increase from 12 billion to 24 billion CNY from 2020 to 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 19% [28][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Founded in 2006, the company has developed a full industrial chain capability from raw material casting to precision forging and assembly for synchronizers and differentials [13][19]. - The company is expanding its operations into the robotics sector with a significant investment in intelligent manufacturing projects for core components [1][19]. 2. Revenue Growth and Profitability - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly, with a forecasted increase in net profit from 1.8 billion CNY in 2020 to 3.2 billion CNY in 2024, achieving a CAGR of 15% [35]. - The gross margin has remained stable, fluctuating between 31% and 36% over recent years, with specific business segments showing varying margins [34]. 3. Differential and Synchronizer Business - The differential market is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to exceed 150 billion CNY by 2030, driven by the increasing sales of electric vehicles [49]. - The company has a strong market presence in the synchronizer segment, holding over 30% market share domestically, and is expanding into the heavy-duty vehicle market [2][3]. 4. Aerospace and Robotics - The aerospace segment has shown strong profitability, with the company expanding its production capabilities to support growth in this area [19][28]. - The company is leveraging its regional advantages to integrate into the robotics supply chain, aiming to benefit from the industry's transformation [3][19]. 5. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 4.3 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 33% [8]. - Revenue projections indicate a steady increase, with expected revenues of 3.021 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 28% [9].