豪能股份：前瞻布局机器人减速器，驱动未来高成长-20250606

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its initial coverage [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is strategically positioned in the transmission system components sector and is proactively entering the robotics field, particularly focusing on robotic reducers [1][3]. - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth and structural optimization, leading to a continuous improvement in profitability [28][31]. - The company is expanding its product offerings in the differential and synchronizer markets, capitalizing on the growth of new energy vehicles [2][49]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in 2006, the company has developed a comprehensive product line including synchronizers, differential assemblies, and aerospace precision components. It plans to invest in smart manufacturing for robotic reducers in 2024 [1][13]. 2. Revenue Growth and Profitability - From 2020 to 2024, the company's revenue is projected to grow from 12 billion to 24 billion CNY, with a CAGR of 19%. The growth is driven by the stabilizing synchronizer business and the increasing demand for new energy vehicle components [28][31]. 3. Differential and Synchronizer Market Expansion - The differential assembly market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 150 billion CNY by 2030. The company has established a joint venture to enhance its differential production capabilities [2][49]. - The synchronizer market is also expanding, with the company holding over 30% market share in China. The market for synchronizers in passenger vehicles is expected to exceed 8 billion CNY by 2025 [2][8]. 4. Aerospace and Robotics - The aerospace segment is showing strong profitability, with plans for expansion to support performance growth. The company is also leveraging its manufacturing expertise to enter the robotics sector, focusing on high-precision reducers [3][19]. 5. Financial Projections - The company anticipates significant growth in net profit, with projections of 4.3 billion, 5.4 billion, and 6.5 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 33%, 26%, and 21% [8][9].