CATL(SZ:300750) Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan·2025-06-09 08:20Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry segments [2]. Core Insights - The overall industry strategy indicates that the supply chain is continuously upgrading, with AI+ being the core driving force [3][4]. - The electric vehicle (EV) sales structure is improving, benefiting companies like Li Auto and Xiaomi, with a projected wholesale sales volume of 1.24 million new energy passenger vehicles in May 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 38% and a month-on-month increase of 9% [4][29]. - The solid-state battery supply chain is approaching mass production, with companies like CATL planning to produce solid-state batteries by 2026-2027 [4][32]. - The demand for lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) is rising both domestically and internationally, with companies like Fulin Precision and Longpan Technology benefiting from this trend [5][28]. - The domestic energy storage market is at a cyclical low, with a record low average price of 0.55 yuan/Wh for two-hour systems in May 2025 [6][36]. - The photovoltaic (PV) demand is at a low point, with expected production declines in June 2025 due to weakened demand after a rush to install [6][30]. Summary by Sections Electric Vehicle Sector - The EV sales are structurally improving, with companies like Li Auto and Xiaomi expected to benefit from favorable policies and market conditions [4][29]. - Li Auto aims for a sales target of over 200,000 units in the new energy market, with a projected second-quarter sales volume of 123,000 to 128,000 vehicles [4][29]. Solid-State Battery Sector - The solid-state battery production is nearing key milestones, with major automakers like SAIC and Changan planning to validate and produce solid-state batteries by 2026 [4][32]. - CATL and other battery manufacturers are also planning to mass-produce solid-state batteries in the 2026-2027 timeframe [4][32]. Lithium Iron Phosphate Demand - The demand for lithium iron phosphate is increasing, with major suppliers like LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI planning to produce these batteries in the U.S. [5][28]. - Fulin Precision and CATL have signed agreements to enhance cooperation in lithium iron phosphate materials, with significant investments planned [5][28]. Energy Storage Market - The energy storage market is currently at a cyclical low, with a significant drop in average prices for energy storage systems [6][36]. - Companies like Aters are focusing on overseas high-profit markets, with expected energy storage system shipments of 2.4-2.6 GWh in the second quarter of 2025 [6][36]. Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a downturn, with expected production declines in June 2025 due to reduced demand following a surge in installations [6][30]. - Companies with advantages in overseas photovoltaic markets, such as Aters, are expected to benefit from these trends [6][30].