CIWEN(SZ:002343) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-06-10 13:40Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5][11]. Core Views - The company is solidifying its position as a leading state-owned film and television enterprise while actively developing a multi-product cultural platform centered around "IP+" [2][11]. - The company is transitioning into a diversified, light-asset, platform-oriented cultural enterprise, expanding into various sectors including short dramas, interactive dramas, animation, gaming, cultural tourism, and performance economy [11]. Financial Summary - The projected revenue for 2023 is 461 million, with a decrease of 1.1% from the previous year. Revenue is expected to decline to 366 million in 2024, followed by a significant increase to 481 million in 2025, and further growth to 509 million in 2026 and 564 million in 2027 [4][12]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 28 million in 2023, with a substantial drop of 43.9%. It is expected to rise to 30 million in 2024, 56 million in 2025, 63 million in 2026, and 72 million in 2027 [4][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.06 yuan in 2023, remaining the same in 2024, and increasing to 0.12 yuan in 2025, 0.13 yuan in 2026, and 0.15 yuan in 2027 [4][12]. Business Segments - The film and television segment is expected to generate 35.29 million in revenue in 2024, accounting for 96.4% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 18.9% [11][13]. - The concert business is anticipated to bring in 1.21 billion in 2024, representing 3.3% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 147.2% [11][13]. - The company has strategic partnerships to explore new business opportunities in the performance and cultural tourism sectors, including VR technology projects [11]. Valuation - The report applies a price-to-book (PB) valuation method, estimating a target price of 8.88 yuan per share based on a 4x PB for 2025, compared to an average PB of 5.71x for comparable companies [11][14].