LFX(SH:600612) Orient Securities·2025-06-11 14:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][8] Core Views - The company is experiencing significant changes and is adapting to the evolving market conditions in the gold and jewelry sector, despite facing short-term operational pressures due to high gold prices [7] - The company has established a joint venture in Northeast China to enhance its business operations in that region, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its market presence [7] - The company is actively pursuing online sales channels and has launched its official flagship store on Tmall, aiming to integrate online and offline sales [7] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 2.86, 3.30, and 3.75 yuan respectively, with a target price of 62.92 yuan based on a 22x PE valuation for 2025 [3][8] - The company’s revenue for 2023 is reported at 71.436 billion yuan, with a projected decline to 49.371 billion yuan in 2025, followed by a recovery to 57.047 billion yuan in 2027 [3][10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease from 2.214 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.496 billion yuan in 2025, before rising to 1.959 billion yuan in 2027 [3][10] Key Financial Metrics - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 8.3% in 2023 to 9.1% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to remain stable around 3.0% to 3.4% during the forecast period [3][10] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to decline from 20.4% in 2023 to 11.3% in 2025, before recovering to 11.7% in 2027 [3][10] - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 26.893 billion yuan as of June 10, 2025 [4]