SANHUA(SZ:002050) Guoyuan Securities2·2025-06-13 11:17Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious subscription for the company [2][3]. Core Viewpoints - The company is the largest manufacturer of refrigeration and air conditioning control components globally, with a market share of approximately 45.5% in the global refrigeration and air conditioning control components market as of 2024 [2]. - In the automotive thermal management system components market, the company ranks fifth globally with a market share of about 4.1% as of 2024 [2]. - The global market size for automotive thermal management system components is projected to grow from RMB 169.5 billion in 2020 to RMB 279.8 billion in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.3% [2]. - Revenue from thermal management system components for new energy vehicles is expected to increase from RMB 16.4 billion in 2020 to RMB 116.2 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 63.1% [2]. - By 2029, the global market size for automotive thermal management system components is anticipated to reach RMB 528.9 billion, with a CAGR of 13.6% from 2024 to 2029 [2]. - Revenue from thermal management system components for new energy vehicles is projected to reach RMB 377.1 billion from 2024 to 2029, with a CAGR of 26.6% [2]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 is projected to be RMB 21.348 billion, RMB 24.558 billion, and RMB 27.947 billion, respectively, with a CAGR of 14.8% [3]. - Net profit for the same years is expected to be RMB 2.608 billion, RMB 2.934 billion, and RMB 3.112 billion, with a CAGR of 9.3% [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 7.669 billion (up 19.1%) and net profit of RMB 0.903 billion (up 39.5%), indicating a strong growth trend [3]. - The company's listing valuation is approximately 26.7 times PE based on the mid-offer price for 2024, which is relatively high within the industry [3].