SEALAND SECURITIES(SZ:000750) Guohai Securities·2025-06-15 13:02Liquidity - The central bank implemented a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut of 0.5 percentage points and a loan prime rate (LPR) reduction of 10 basis points, leading to a net liquidity injection of CNY 599.8 billion in May[44] - The liquidity environment has further eased, with the weighted average interest rate for net financing from major banks and policy banks declining in May[44] Equity Market - Broad-based ETFs experienced a net outflow of CNY 34.8 billion, while the Sci-Tech ETF saw a net inflow of CNY 50 billion, indicating a divergence in investor sentiment[9][10] - The technology sector ETF recorded its largest monthly inflow of CNY 23.5 billion, while consumer and pharmaceutical ETFs faced significant outflows of CNY 22.5 billion and CNY 27 billion, respectively[16] Bond Market - Major banks and rural commercial banks began net buying old bonds in May, with net selling of interest rate bonds decreasing to CNY 1.909 billion from CNY 3.555 billion in April[29] - Insurance companies net purchased CNY 1.908 billion in interest rate bonds, primarily focusing on 15-20 year and 20-30 year maturities[32] Commodity Market - Gold ETFs shifted from net inflow to net outflow, with a net outflow of CNY 4.4 billion in May, reflecting changing investor sentiment towards precious metals[39] - Other commodity ETFs, including non-ferrous and energy chemical ETFs, continued to experience outflows, totaling CNY 1.13 billion and CNY 0.17 billion, respectively[40] Risk Factors - Increased geopolitical risks, potential domestic macroeconomic policy shortcomings, and the possibility of an overseas economic recession pose significant risks to market stability[47]