Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The cost of lithium carbonate continues to decline, and lithium prices may remain weak [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fundamentals Tracking - Futures Market Data: For the 2507 contract, the closing price was 60,240, with a change of -460 compared to T - 5; the trading volume was 84,735, a decrease of 84,736 from T - 1; the open interest was 126,023, down 21,409 from T - 1. For the 2509 contract, the closing price was 59,780, a change of -1,180 compared to T - 5; the trading volume was 218,180, an increase of 41,022 from T - 1; the open interest was 300,422, up 33,491 from T - 1. The warehouse receipt volume was 32,043, a decrease of 75 from T - 1 [1]. - Base - related Data: The spot - 2507 was 260, a change of -450 compared to T - 1; the spot - 2509 was 720, a change of -130 compared to T - 1; the 2507 - 2509 basis was 460, a change of 320 compared to T - 1; the electric carbon - industrial carbon was 1,600, with no change from T - 1; the spot - CIF was 2,699, an increase of 218 from T - 1 [1]. - Raw Material Data: The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 624, a decrease of 5 from T - 1; the price of lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) was 1,225, with no change from T - 1 [1]. - Lithium Salt Data: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 60,500, a decrease of 150 from T - 1; the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 58,900, a decrease of 150 from T - 1; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) was 65,100, a decrease of 350 from T - 1 [1]. - Industry Chain Related Data: The price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was 30,405, a decrease of 70 from T - 1; the price of lithium iron phosphate (mid - high - end energy storage type) was 28,900, a decrease of 90 from T - 1; the price of lithium iron phosphate (low - end energy storage type) was 26,650, a decrease of 30 from T - 1 [1]. Macro and Industry News - Price Information: The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 60,424 yuan/ton, a decrease of 276 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day; the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 60,500 yuan/ton, a decrease of 150 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 58,900 yuan/ton, a decrease of 150 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day [2]. - Company News: Dazhong Mining's wholly - owned subsidiary, Dazhong New Energy, received a reply from the Ministry of Natural Resources, confirming that the mineral resource reserves review and filing of the "Lithium Ore Exploration Report for the 0 - 80 Lines of the Jiada Mining Area in Barkam City, Sichuan Province" passed. As of February 28, 2025, the proven resource of the first - mining area of the Sichuan Jiada lithium mine was 230,000 tons of metal oxides, with an ore volume of 15.34 million tons and an average grade of 1.51%; the controlled resource was 180,000 tons of metal oxides, with an ore volume of 13.82 million tons and an average grade of 1.34%. The resource ore volume of the first - mining area was 43.44 million tons, the LiO2 mineral volume was 600,000 tons, the average grade was 1.38%, and the equivalent lithium carbonate was approximately 1.48 million tons, exceeding the company's expectations [4]. - Policy News: The Ministry of Ecology and Environment issued an announcement stating that starting from August 1, 2025, qualified recycled black powder raw materials for lithium - ion batteries are not considered solid waste and can be freely imported. Recycled black powder raw materials cannot be mixed with other types of recycled raw materials, and different types of recycled raw materials cannot be declared under the same customs declaration form. Imported recycled black powder raw materials are not allowed to be in bulk, and different categories of recycled black powder raw materials should be placed separately [4]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of lithium carbonate was 0, indicating a neutral trend. The trend intensity ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [4].
碳酸锂：成本下移趋势延续，锂价或仍偏弱