Hopechart(SH:688288) Xinda Securities·2025-06-18 09:05Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the new national subsidy policy for heavy trucks, which includes the replacement of old vehicles, potentially leading to significant sales growth [4][13]. - The company is expanding into the passenger vehicle market with its eCall system, which is expected to become a standard feature in new cars by 2027, creating a substantial market opportunity [4][44]. - The trend towards the smartification of two-wheeled vehicles presents a new growth avenue for the company, with significant revenue potential anticipated [4][56]. Summary by Sections Commercial Vehicle Market - The introduction of subsidies for the replacement of National IV heavy trucks is expected to stimulate demand, with potential sales increases of 114,000 to 266,000 vehicles based on different replacement ratios [4][31]. - The company has established strong partnerships with leading manufacturers in the commercial vehicle sector, enhancing its market position [4][38]. eCall and Domain Controller - The mandatory implementation of the eCall system in China is projected to create a market worth approximately 11.03 billion yuan by 2027, with the company already securing important contracts and certifications [4][48]. - The company has received EU certification for its eCall products, positioning it favorably for international market opportunities [4][52]. Two-Wheeled Vehicle Market - The smartification trend in two-wheeled vehicles is expected to drive demand for various smart components, with a projected market size of 5.153 billion yuan at a 30% penetration rate [4][56]. - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in this segment, anticipating significant revenue growth [4][56]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 697 million, 935 million, and 1.255 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 33.2%, 34.1%, and 34.2% [6][5]. - The projected net profit for the same period is expected to be 60 million, 85 million, and 122 million yuan, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [6][5].