大促对件量提振效应减弱，价格承压

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry [7] Core Insights - The express delivery industry continues to adopt a "price for volume" strategy, with a decrease in average prices and a slowdown in volume growth since the beginning of the year [3][4] - In May, the retail sales of goods and e-commerce GMV showed positive growth, but the growth rate of express delivery volume has started to decelerate, indicating a weakening effect from promotional events [1][2] - The report recommends investing in SF Express, which maintains a positive cycle of volume and profit, and Jitu Express, which has high growth in international business [5] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - In May, retail sales increased by 6.4% year-on-year, with e-commerce GMV growing by 8.2%, indicating a strong online sales environment [2] - The express delivery volume in May grew by 17.2% year-on-year, but this was a slowdown from 19.1% in April [1][3] Company Analysis - SF Express achieved a volume growth of 31.8% in May, significantly outperforming the industry average of 17.2% [4] - Jitu Express reported a 15.9% increase in revenue for 2024, driven by strong performance in both domestic and Southeast Asian markets [24] Investment Strategy - The report suggests that despite the express delivery sector being at a historical low valuation, the long-term outlook remains positive for leading companies due to their market share aspirations and operational efficiencies [5] - Target prices are set at 51.10 CNY for SF Express and 7.50 HKD for Jitu Express, both rated as "Buy" [10][23]