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东北固收转债分析:锡振转债定价:首日转股溢价率29%~33%

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The target price of Xizhen Convertible Bond on the first day of listing is estimated to be between 130 - 134 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe. The expected first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0019% - 0.0031%. The project funded by the raised capital is in line with industry trends, which can enhance the company's market competitiveness and optimize its capital structure [3][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Tin Zhen Convertible Bond New - Issue Analysis and Investment Recommendations 1.1 Convertible Bond Basic Terms Analysis - The issuance methods of Xizhen Convertible Bond are priority placement and online issuance. Its bond and issuer ratings are AA-. The issuance scale is 520 million yuan, the initial conversion price is 31.98 yuan, the bond parity is 100.66 yuan, and the pure bond value is 95.25 yuan. The game terms (lower - revision, redemption, and put - back) are normal. Overall, the bond has average issuance scale and liquidity, decent rating, and good bond - floor protection. It is easy for institutions to include it in their portfolios, and there is no objection to primary - market participation [2][15]. 1.2 New - Bond Initial Listing Price Analysis - The company's main businesses include stamping parts, sub - assembly processing, selective precision electroplating processing, and mold businesses. The raised funds will be mainly used for the "Langfang Zhenhua Quanjingshen Auto Parts Project" and to supplement working capital. Considering the market environment and parity level, the conversion premium rate on the first day of listing is expected to be in the range of [29%, 33%], corresponding to a target price of around 130 - 134 yuan [3][18][19]. 1.3 Convertible Bond New - Issue Lottery Winning Rate Analysis - The expected first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0019% - 0.0031%. Assuming an old - shareholder placement ratio of 50% - 70%, the scale available for the market is 157 million - 261 million yuan. Assuming 8.36 million online valid subscription accounts, the lottery winning rate is estimated within the above range [4][20]. 2. Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 2.1 Company's Main Business and Industry Up - and Downstream Situations - The company's main businesses are stamping parts, sub - assembly processing, selective precision electroplating processing, and mold businesses. The upstream industries mainly include production equipment manufacturers and raw material suppliers such as steel and aluminum. The downstream industry is the automotive industry. China's automotive industry is in the popularization stage with large growth potential, which will drive the development of the auto - parts industry [21][22]. 2.2 Company's Operating Conditions - The company's recent operating income has been on the rise. From 2022 to Q1 2025, the operating income was 1.881 billion yuan, 2.317 billion yuan, 2.531 billion yuan, and 600 million yuan respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of 18.9%, 23.19%, 9.23%, and 22.48%. The comprehensive gross margin has been increasing year by year. The net profit attributable to the parent company has also been rising annually. The company's profitability has been on an upward trend [25][28][37]. 2.3 Company's Equity Structure and Major Subsidiaries - As of the end of 2024, the company's equity structure was relatively concentrated. The top two shareholders, Wuxi Junrun and Qian Ben, held 27.53% and 22.37% of the shares respectively, with a combined shareholding ratio of 49.9%. The top ten shareholders held a combined 72.63% of the shares. The company has 9 wholly - owned subsidiaries [41]. 2.4 Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has advantages in technology R & D, production equipment, customer resources, industry matching, and management. It has 148 patents, advanced production equipment, stable cooperation with well - known automakers, significant industry - matching advantages, and an effective management system [44][45][48]. 2.5 Allocation of the Raised Funds - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 520 million yuan. 420 million yuan will be invested in the "Langfang Zhenhua Quanjingshen Auto Parts Project", and 100 million yuan will be used to supplement working capital. The project, with a total investment of 648 million yuan, will increase the company's overall production capacity. After reaching full production, it will have an annual production capacity of 500,000 sets of auto parts [49].