YTL(SZ:000960) Guoyuan Securities·2025-06-23 10:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a significant breakthrough in tin smelting technology with a newly patented system, enhancing its competitive edge in international markets [2]. - The company's revenue and net profit have shown substantial growth, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 9.729 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.82%, and net profit attributable to the parent company at 499 million yuan, up 53.08% year-on-year [3][9]. - The increase in metal prices, particularly tin, copper, and zinc, has positively impacted the company's financial performance, with average prices for these metals rising compared to 2024 [4][9]. Summary by Sections Technology Breakthrough - The company has received a U.S. patent for a tin-containing material smelting system, marking a significant milestone in its technological advancements [2]. - The new technology has led to improved operational efficiency, including a 2.5% reduction in dust emissions and a 3.5% decrease in coal consumption, resulting in annual economic benefits exceeding 30 million yuan [2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a total production of 82,200 tons of non-ferrous metals, with tin production at 24,200 tons, copper at 24,400 tons, and zinc at 33,300 tons [8]. - The company has effectively controlled its expenses, with a period expense ratio of 4.01% in Q1 2025, and a significant reduction in financial expenses by 50.18% year-on-year [3]. Market Dynamics - The demand for tin is expected to continue growing, driven by its applications in new energy and electronic communication sectors, amidst a tightening supply from traditional tin-producing countries [4]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the favorable supply-demand dynamics in the tin market, supported by its strong resource reserves and operational efficiencies [9]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.274 billion yuan, 2.484 billion yuan, and 2.680 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.38 yuan, 1.51 yuan, and 1.63 yuan [9].